Warren Buffett: US is in 'economic Pearl Harbor'

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The richest man and the most successful investor in the world, Mr. Warren E. Buffett, says in NBC interview that:

- US is in 'economic Pearl Harbor' and that 'Obama the absolute right commander-in-chief'; Buffett stated "You couldn't have anybody better in charge."

- Americans are in a cycle of fear, "which leads to people not wanting to spend and not wanting to make investments, and that leads to more fear. We'll break out of it. It takes time."

- He said that nation's economic situation is not as bad at World War II or the Great Depression, but it's still pretty severe.

- He did not know how long the crisis would continue.

Source: MSNBC, Yahoo News - AP

Our View:

  • When Oracle of Omaha speaks, it is wise to listen, but not to imitate.
  • We are bearish on US economy in the near term and does not see any rapid recovery, inline with Buffett's view.
  • Obama is likely the right person for the job. However, the word 'hope' is not equal to 'is going to'. The enormous tasks handed over to Obama and his administration are clearly very challenging.
  • Obama's leadership and especially his economic advisers are likely to be tested and re-tested especially if they use legacy theories to solve the current economic crisis. As John Maynard Keynes said: “The difficulty lies not so much in developing new ideas as in escaping from old ones.”
  • It is far easier to enter a difficult economic environment due to irresponsible habits and imprudent business decisions than to exit one. Businessmen and investors shall remember Confucius wise words: “He who learns but does not think, is lost! He who thinks but does not learn is in great danger."

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